SMU +36 1.1% Free Play

I feel like this line might be off by at least a TD here.  SMU played a good game early against TCU last week as it was 14-12 at the half last week before they were shutout in the second half eventually losing 42-12.  They lost by 30 points, but gave up two non-offensive TD's so the game itself was much closer than the final indicated. 

Michigan meanwhile got redemption by beating down on Western Michigan 49-3, but I can totally see them content to shorten this game and go into the Big 10 schedule healthy as they'll host Nebraska next week.  

SMU now 0-2 ATS, so clearly value on their spread here moving forward.  They have an extra day of rest here as well.  Since 2010, a team that is 0-2 ATS after 7 wins or less the season before facing an opponent that went to a bowl game are 46-24 ATS.  That trend makes a lot of sense and this is just far too many points for Michigan to be laying in back to back weeks at home.